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Seded  
#261 Posted : Friday, February 10, 2017 5:47:34 PM(UTC)
Seded

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jel može meni netko objasniti 1.55 na Tyburu ili su to klade dale poklon? nisam se baš štedio na ovome single-u jer ne vidim kako da ovo Tybura izgubi. Cardio sto puta bolji, stand up tehnički bolji, o parteru da ne govorimo.
"It's not checkmate. The king has one more move."
Chiodo  
#262 Posted : Friday, February 10, 2017 5:49:38 PM(UTC)
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Da nije 1,05??Nevjerojatno 1,55
Super ova tema za kladu i bolje je.
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Seded on 2/10/2017(UTC)
Seded  
#263 Posted : Friday, February 10, 2017 6:25:21 PM(UTC)
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"It's not checkmate. The king has one more move."
cayman  
#264 Posted : Saturday, February 11, 2017 4:22:00 AM(UTC)
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Top pick mi je Teixeira definitivno, a i tu su dali dobar koeficijent
Hendo  
#265 Posted : Saturday, February 11, 2017 10:26:40 AM(UTC)
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Ako ga Teixeira baci nema mu spasa realno...Jel se slažete, da je klinč možda najbitniji ali i najnepredvidljivi dio borbe?

Kako odlučujete na koga igrati? Možda sami postavljate kvote i onda pickove gdje je največa razlika u postavljenim kvotama između vas i kladionica odigrate?

Recimo uplatio sam Silvu po 2,25..ako bi bila kvota barem 2,60 na Brunsona odigrao bi suprotno ali za manji ulog.
DoKoske  
#266 Posted : Saturday, February 11, 2017 2:44:07 PM(UTC)
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Originally Posted by: Hendo Go to Quoted Post
Ako ga Teixeira baci nema mu spasa realno...Jel se slažete, da je klinč možda najbitniji ali i najnepredvidljivi dio borbe?

Kako odlučujete na koga igrati? Možda sami postavljate kvote i onda pickove gdje je največa razlika u postavljenim kvotama između vas i kladionica odigrate?

Recimo uplatio sam Silvu po 2,25..ako bi bila kvota barem 2,60 na Brunsona odigrao bi suprotno ali za manji ulog.


http://www.bettingexpert.com/how-to/convert-odds

izračunaš implied probabilty i onda analiziraš borbu i vidiš koje ti šanse daješ da taj pick prođe. ako je tvoj veći od implieda onda bi se trebao okladit na taj par. prema tome i visinu uloga odrediš
wash your feminine side clean off
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ksian on 2/11/2017(UTC)
Seded  
#267 Posted : Sunday, February 12, 2017 6:31:47 AM(UTC)
Seded

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Originally Posted by: Seded Go to Quoted Post
Igrao singlove Tyburu, Makhachev by dec, LaFlare by dec, Glover by sub

parlay Reis, Poirier i Jacare

izbjegavam se kladit na ženski mma, iako bih prije igrao Germaine nego Holm jer iako Holm bolje boksa, Germaine je puno veći ubojica u stand upu. S druge strane, nikad nije bila na 5 rundi, Holm je vjerojatno bolja u parteru itd. Preskočio sam to.


prošlo sve osim Glovera, a i to je bilo za mrvicu. Gilja je bila zakopčana, al dobro se Cannonier obranio
"It's not checkmate. The king has one more move."
thanks 2 users thanked Seded for this useful post.
DoKoske on 2/12/2017(UTC), El Guapo on 2/17/2017(UTC)
Hendo  
#268 Posted : Sunday, February 12, 2017 6:05:49 PM(UTC)
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Originally Posted by: DoKoske Go to Quoted Post
Originally Posted by: Hendo Go to Quoted Post
Ako ga Teixeira baci nema mu spasa realno...Jel se slažete, da je klinč možda najbitniji ali i najnepredvidljivi dio borbe?

Kako odlučujete na koga igrati? Možda sami postavljate kvote i onda pickove gdje je največa razlika u postavljenim kvotama između vas i kladionica odigrate?

Recimo uplatio sam Silvu po 2,25..ako bi bila kvota barem 2,60 na Brunsona odigrao bi suprotno ali za manji ulog.


http://www.bettingexpert.com/how-to/convert-odds

izračunaš implied probabilty i onda analiziraš borbu i vidiš koje ti šanse daješ da taj pick prođe. ako je tvoj veći od implieda onda bi se trebao okladit na taj par. prema tome i visinu uloga odrediš


To radim več godinama, stran je praktička ali ne obračunava margine kladionica, dakle bitne stvari od koje one žive.

Recimo Fedor ima kvotu 2,30, a Mitrione 1,68. Ako djelite 100 sa kvotama dobijete 59,52 i 43,48; dakle ukpopno 103 posto. Ako se kladite na nekim lokalnim kladionicama margina je još veča i realne šanse boraca su 3-5, ponekad i 7 posto manje nego što kaže ovaj izračun na stranici, ovisi gdlje kladite. Pinnacle uzima 3 posto; dakle trebali bi djeliti 97 odnosno 100:103 sa ovim kvotama, da dobijete realne šanse pojedinca.


Rado bih vam odgovorio ali nekoliko vas ima pun inbox...
Hendo  
#269 Posted : Tuesday, February 14, 2017 4:56:49 PM(UTC)
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Šta kažete na Fedor vs Mitrione oer 1,5 rounds? 2,5o kvota mi je previđe; niska granica i ok kvota, iako su stilsko jako različiti 7,5 minuta nije dosta i nijedan nije više u prime-u...za neki manji ulog ču pokušati. Generalno je statistika i logika ovdje na strani overa u borbama, kontra kao u recimo nogometu i košarci...

Lewis vs Browne mi je čista lutrija, minimalna prednost Derricku ali premalo za klađenje po 1,95....Možda Lewis KO u prvoj ako bude dobra kvota, recimo barem 5.00...



Seded  
#270 Posted : Tuesday, February 14, 2017 4:59:13 PM(UTC)
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ne volim teškaše igrati over i under jer su jako nepredvidljivi, osim ako se ne bori Abdurakhimov, to je uvijek over 2.5 Emocija20
"It's not checkmate. The king has one more move."
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Hendo on 2/14/2017(UTC)
Kristijan  
#271 Posted : Thursday, February 16, 2017 4:24:47 AM(UTC)
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Preskocio prosli UFC, mislio sam i ovaj, ali ipak


Lewis na 2, samo zato sto je Browne i dalje sa Tarverdyanom.
Mitrione 1.86.

Cekam da vidim i Hendricksa u live nakon prve runde, ipak je ovo middleweight, mogao bi lako izgledati puno bolje nego u welteru dok se ubijao skidanjem kila, a za Lombarda se zna koliko uspori u drugoj i trecoj.
Seded  
#272 Posted : Thursday, February 16, 2017 1:46:04 PM(UTC)
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Ja još ništa nisam igrao za ovaj card, vidim da je Lewis na pickem sad, vidjet ću još

šteta što je na Mutantea pao koef, sad mi ga se ne isplati igrati

nije mi nešto ovaj ufc za kladu

Edited by user Thursday, February 16, 2017 1:49:35 PM(UTC)  | Reason: Not specified

"It's not checkmate. The king has one more move."
JDS  
#273 Posted : Thursday, February 16, 2017 5:38:45 PM(UTC)
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Originally Posted by: Seded Go to Quoted Post
Ja još ništa nisam igrao za ovaj card, vidim da je Lewis na pickem sad, vidjet ću još

šteta što je na Mutantea pao koef, sad mi ga se ne isplati igrati

nije mi nešto ovaj ufc za kladu


Meni je isto bas los ovaj ufc za kladu. Nego kako to da Fedora nema u ponudi u nasim kladionama ?
Seded  
#274 Posted : Thursday, February 16, 2017 5:41:24 PM(UTC)
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Originally Posted by: JDS Go to Quoted Post
Originally Posted by: Seded Go to Quoted Post
Ja još ništa nisam igrao za ovaj card, vidim da je Lewis na pickem sad, vidjet ću još

šteta što je na Mutantea pao koef, sad mi ga se ne isplati igrati

nije mi nešto ovaj ufc za kladu


Meni je isto bas los ovaj ufc za kladu. Nego kako to da Fedora nema u ponudi u nasim kladionama ?
vjerojatno će staviti sutra ili prekosutra

"It's not checkmate. The king has one more move."
thanks 1 user thanked Seded for this useful post.
JDS on 2/16/2017(UTC)
Hendo  
#275 Posted : Friday, February 17, 2017 11:29:02 AM(UTC)
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Koji favorit ovog vikenda sa kvotom između 1,2 i 1,4 vam se čini najbolji kombo par? Nešto bi vezao sa over 1,5 rounds Konga i Thompsona, jesu teškaši ali sve mi tu miriše na decision....
bero  
#276 Posted : Friday, February 17, 2017 11:32:47 AM(UTC)
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Supersport:
Emelianenko - 1.90
Mitrione - 1.70
pfs-prevarantske frustrirane seljačine
- dr jupidu
Seded  
#277 Posted : Friday, February 17, 2017 1:40:26 PM(UTC)
Seded

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Originally Posted by: Hendo Go to Quoted Post
Koji favorit ovog vikenda sa kvotom između 1,2 i 1,4 vam se čini najbolji kombo par? Nešto bi vezao sa over 1,5 rounds Konga i Thompsona, jesu teškaši ali sve mi tu miriše na decision....


McMann je ogroman favorit, mislim da ću stavit u combo nju i Meerschaerta
"It's not checkmate. The king has one more move."
DoKoske  
#278 Posted : Friday, February 17, 2017 3:25:22 PM(UTC)
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Originally Posted by: Seded Go to Quoted Post
Originally Posted by: Hendo Go to Quoted Post
Koji favorit ovog vikenda sa kvotom između 1,2 i 1,4 vam se čini najbolji kombo par? Nešto bi vezao sa over 1,5 rounds Konga i Thompsona, jesu teškaši ali sve mi tu miriše na decision....


McMann je ogroman favorit, mislim da ću stavit u combo nju i Meerschaerta


nije mi dobar meerschaert, premala kvota. mogla bi bit blizu borba. zahabi bi trebao dobit
wash your feminine side clean off
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Seded on 2/17/2017(UTC)
JDS  
#279 Posted : Friday, February 17, 2017 4:38:43 PM(UTC)
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Originally Posted by: Hendo Go to Quoted Post
Koji favorit ovog vikenda sa kvotom između 1,2 i 1,4 vam se čini najbolji kombo par? Nešto bi vezao sa over 1,5 rounds Konga i Thompsona, jesu teškaši ali sve mi tu miriše na decision....


Ma ja mislim da ce Kongo zavrsit, neznam uopce kako se ovakav borac poput Thompsona moze boriti u organizaciji poput Belatora, to zapravo govori koliko je Belator los
Svensson  
#280 Posted : Saturday, February 18, 2017 12:17:43 AM(UTC)
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Originally Posted by: JDS Go to Quoted Post
Originally Posted by: Hendo Go to Quoted Post
Koji favorit ovog vikenda sa kvotom između 1,2 i 1,4 vam se čini najbolji kombo par? Nešto bi vezao sa over 1,5 rounds Konga i Thompsona, jesu teškaši ali sve mi tu miriše na decision....


Ma ja mislim da ce Kongo zavrsit, neznam uopce kako se ovakav borac poput Thompsona moze boriti u organizaciji poput Belatora, to zapravo govori koliko je Belator los


Nije Kongo vise neka klasa ,cesto on ziherasi a Thompson sumnjam da ce srljati.
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